Curve Ball: Baseball, Statistics, and the Role of Chance in by Jim Albert

By Jim Albert

A glance at baseball info from a statistical modeling viewpoint! there's a fascination between baseball lovers and the media to assemble information on each possible occasion in the course of a 3-hitter and this ebook addresses a couple of questions which are of curiosity to many baseball enthusiasts. those comprise find out how to expense gamers, are expecting the result of a online game or the attainment of an success, making experience of situational info, and finding out the main important avid gamers on this planet sequence. aimed toward a basic viewers, the textual content doesn't suppose any past history in likelihood or information, even supposing a data of highschool abgebra should be important.

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Additional info for Curve Ball: Baseball, Statistics, and the Role of Chance in the Game (2003)

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Table 1-5 shows the frequency of these results for Del Ennis (a slugging left fielder not so different from Greg Luzinski), Andy Seminick (a tough catcher, a 1950s version of Darren Daulton), and Willie Jones (predecessor to Dick Allen, Mike Schmidt, Scott Rolen, and David Bell at third base). We have included their nicknames from their APBA cards, a charming feature not found in other games. For each player, we can calculate the effect of pitching grades within each base situation. 3 Here are two examples of this calculation for Del Ennis: S I M P L E M O D E L S F RO M TA B L E T O P B A S E B A L L GA M E S TABLE 1-5 Player #7 #8 #9 #10 Del “Skinny” Ennis 2 4 2 0 Willie “Puddin’ Head” Jones 2 2 2 1 Andy Seminick 2 3 2 0 13 Frequency of Play Results Affected by Pitcher Grade in APBA Baseball for Three Members of the 1950 Phillies (the Whiz Kids) • Del Ennis is batting against an A&B pitcher with runners on first and third bases.

It does seem reasonable, though, to compare his OBP value with those of AL players who played regularly during the 1999 season. We arbitrarily decide that a player is a “regular” if he had at least 400 plate appearances during the season. ) Using this definition of “regular,” Table 2-2 shows the OBPs for the 108 regular American League players in 1999. This table of OBPs is hard to decipher. To better view these values, we will introduce a few simple graphical methods that statisticians find useful.

Martinez M. Ramirez ON-BASE PERCENTAGE FIGURE 2-8 Stemplot of OBPs with some interesting values identified. 434). 434. Interesting Values We observe the general shape of the OBPs, looking for a typical OBP and considering the spread of the values, and then look for interesting OBP values that stand apart from the large cluster of OBPs in the middle. 442. But we’re also interested in unusually small values. In the redrawn stemplot of Figure 2-8, we see four small OBPs are separated from the remainder of the data.

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